Methodology

What this tool does

Reefguide Calculator helps you decide which coastal zones make sense for shore snorkeling, based on seasonal patterns and coastal exposure

It’s designed for the planning stage:

  • before choosing where to stay
  • before committing to a specific coast
  • before chasing daily forecasts

The goal is to reduce guesswork, not to optimize for perfect conditions.


What this tool does not do

Reefguide is not:

  • a real-time weather or ocean forecast
  • a safety or go/no-go tool
  • a list of snorkeling spots or entry points
  • a guarantee of conditions on any given day

Local conditions can change quickly.
Always check current conditions and use your own judgment before entering the water.


How coastal zones are defined

Zones in Reefguide are based on coastal exposure, not on specific reefs or beaches.

Each zone reflects:

  • the general orientation of the coastline
  • typical wind and swell directions for the season
  • whether the coast is usually windward, leeward, or mixed

This is how marine professionals (sailors, divers, forecasters) think about coastlines —
Reefguide simply translates that logic into a decision-friendly format.


Why seasonality matters

Snorkeling is especially sensitive to:

  • wind
  • surface chop
  • swell direction

Even small seasonal shifts can make one side of an island consistently workable,
while another side becomes unreliable.

Reefguide focuses on repeatability:

  • where calm windows tend to occur more often
  • where flexibility is required
  • where planning around snorkeling usually leads to disappointment

Confidence levels

Each zone includes a confidence level (High / Medium / Low).

This reflects how repeatable snorkeling conditions tend to be during that period —
not how “good” or “beautiful” a location is.

High confidence does not mean perfect.
Low confidence does not mean impossible.

It simply answers:

How much does this choice usually depend on timing and luck?


Decision impact & staying logic

Instead of recommendations, Reefguide highlights:

  • Decision impact — what this choice requires from you in practice
  • Staying logic — how people typically plan their base around that coast

This keeps the tool neutral and focused on planning, not selling.


Data sources & approach

Reefguide is informed by long-term marine climatology, including:

  • seasonal wind and swell patterns
  • coastal exposure principles
  • regional marine summaries (e.g. NOAA and equivalent services)

The calculator uses patterns, not live data.


In short

Reefguide doesn’t try to predict the ocean.
It helps you plan around how it usually behaves.